https://github.com/stan-dev/stancon\_talks/tree/master/2018-helsinki/Contributed-Talks/braylan # Abstract # introduction # holiday effect function # simulated data ### modeling main points ### stan model ### diagnostics # real data ## keyword: chocolate, last minute gift, fireworks, turkey, pumpkn, pumpkin spice # simpler models ## keyword: pumpkin - simplified model ## keyword: pumpkin spice - simplified model # conclusion