# Bayesian Evolution Assessment: Scott & Charlie Lens ## 🐙 Ocean Food Literature Review | Paper | Core Concept | 🟢 AGREE | 🔴 DISAGREE | 🔵 Our Extension | | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ---------------------------------------------------- | ----------------------------------------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------- | | **[[2세련지/📜paper/🐙/해식량/📜🐙_phanchambers18_integrate(entrepreneurship, operations)]]** | Unknown unknowns as purely exogenous uncertainty | - | **Strongly disagree**: Ignores founder's ability to choose ignorance (τ→0) | We endogenize uncertainty through founder's τ choice | | **[[📜🐙_alvarez07_bridge(discovery, creation)]]** | Discovery vs Creation theory dichotomy | Identifies key tension in field | Too static, lacks dynamic mechanism | Our φ operationalizes what they leave abstract | | **[[📜🐙_packard17_observe(opportunities, beliefs)]]** | Transform unmeasurable uncertainty into measurable | Uncertainty transformation is key | Misses founder's active role | We add digestion cost C explaining selective measurement | | **[[2세련지/📜paper/🐙/해식량/📜🐙_corbett07_observe(entrepreneurs, newsvendor-behavior)]]** | Entrepreneurs follow newsvendor with behavioral mods | Risk-seeking in losses confirms our model | Needs formal framework | Their behavior maps to our τ adjustments | | **[[2세련지/📜paper/🐙/해식량/📜🐙_yoo21_theorize(lean, operations)]]** | Build-test-learn cycle with endogenous learning | **Strongly agree**: Direct support for endogenization | - | Validates our reparameterization sequence | | **[[📜🐙_sterman00_model(business, dynamics)]]** | Endogenous feedback loops in systems | Endogeneity focus aligns | Deterministic, misses stochastic τ | We add conscious uncertainty choice | | **[[📜🐙_terwiesch09_design(innovation, tournaments)]]** | Tournament design to optimize innovation | Shows how to engineer n | Ignores founder's τ response | Missing second-order effects | | **[[📜🐙_yarkoni24_integrate(explanation, prediction)]]** | 2×2 framework for integrative modeling | **Philosophical alignment** with bridge goal | - | Their epistemic modesty = our rational ignorance | | **[[📜🐙_tushman96_manage(ambidextrous, organizations)]]** | Ambidexterity for incremental + revolutionary change | Success syndrome = learning trap | Lacks mathematical formalization | We formalize their qualitative insights | | **[[📜🐙_Alvarez_Porac20_imagination_indetermincy_managerial_choice]]** | Constructivist uncertainty as foreground | **Deep agreement**: Calls for what we deliver | - | Our τ operationalizes "fundamental uncertainty" | | **[[📜🐙_spearman22_unify(operations, science)]]** | Need for descriptive science of operations | Methodological alignment | Different focus (variability vs uncertainty) | Both seek to unify fragmented approaches | | **[[📜🐅_anderson13_model(startup, integration-decisions)]]** | Integration decisions in startups | - | - | *File needs review* | | **[[📜🐅_arrow51_optimize(inventory, decisions)]]** | Classic inventory optimization | Foundation for operations thinking | Static, no learning | We add dynamic updating | | **[[2세련지/📜paper/🐙/해식량/📜🐙_cachon05_coordinate(channel, revenue-sharing)]]** | Revenue sharing in supply chains | Coordination mechanisms useful | - | Could extend to promise coordination | | **[[📜🐙_parker05_model(networks, two-sided)]]** / **[[📜🐙_parker16_orchestrate(platforms, network-effects)]]** | Two-sided markets and network effects | Network thinking important | - | τ could vary by network position | | **[[📜🐙_wood10_observe(behavior, beliefs)]]** | Behavioral observations of entrepreneurs | - | - | *File needs full review* | | **[[📜🐙_yoo16_allocate(resources, time)]]** | Resource allocation over time | - | - | *File needs full review* | ## Summary Statistics - **Strong Agreement**: 4 papers (Yoo21, Yarkoni24, Alvarez_Porac20, Spearman22) - **Strong Disagreement**: 1 paper (PhanChambers18) - **Partial Agreement with Extensions**: 6 papers - **Our Unique Contribution**: τ parameter (founder's chosen uncertainty) absent in ALL reviewed work ## Key Patterns 1. **Supporters**: Focus on endogenous learning, constructivist approaches 2. **Opponents**: Treat uncertainty as purely exogenous (nature-only) 3. **Gap We Fill**: No existing work captures founder's strategic uncertainty choice (τ) # 🌀marginnote(bayes_evol(scott_charlie)) ![[bayes_evol(scott_charlie) 2025-09-14-6.svg]] %%[[bayes_evol(scott_charlie) 2025-09-14-6.md|🖋 Edit in Excalidraw]]%% - marginnote3app://note/DE9BB630-50DA-43B5-941A-A17A0637A95C