2025-05-18 introduction is 1context - 234literature foundation - 5gap - 6approach. - 7findings - 8implications - 9outline | 1. research focus | current direction & advisor alignment | | | | ----------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | --- | | 2. model state t | | | | | 3. action t (intention) | 1. among six paths (1 -> 2S -> 3ST, 1 -> 2S -> 3SU, 1 -> 2T -> 3TS, 1 -> 2T -> 3TU, 1 -> 2U -> 3UT, 1 -> 2U -> 3US), chose 1 -> 2S -> 3ST or 1 -> 2T -> 3TS<br><br>2. S means state is random variable (their acceptance) - i know how customer1 and customer2 would react, i know how supplier1 and supplier2 would react nd nd<br><br>3. experimented [[🚘def(tesla)]], skinnygirl cocktail, betterplace to choose tesla ([reason](https://poe.com/s/EA1GEbxGclujcZ3akBQs); visibility, familiarity, documented challenges, ongoing relevance) | | | | 4. model state t +1 | key idea | | | | | demand modeling <br>market validation | | | | | supply modeling <br>operational verification | | | | | diagram | ![[🧊🪢.png]] | | | 5. action t + 1 options | | - <br> <br>- search literature on supplier-entrepreneur-customer coordination<br> <br>- choose best example from charlie’s case stud | | 2025-05-17 | category | element | content | | ----------------------- | --------------------------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | 1. research focus | current direction & advisor alignment | using STRAP in “nail it” phase to encourage operational side resource allocation for entrepreneurs, with bayesian entrepreneurship as beachhead audience | | 2. model state t | | entrepreneurs builds descriptive/predictive model of stakeholders (resource partner and customer) then prescribe (experiment choice) | | 3. action t (intention) | | - simplify three stakeholders to two by excluding investor (balancing uncertainty is intuitive for two bodies, than three) <br> <br> <br>- exclude entrepreneur from stakeholder <br> (sorry, i find principal-agent model hard to resonate) | | 4. model state t +1 | key idea | predict both sides of stakeholders’ behavior before prescribing experimental actions that balances uncertainty <br> <br>key principle:  selling promise and delivering promise must be aligned/balanced | | | demand modeling <br>market validation | market segmentation from demand modeling literature asks “is segmenting worth it by comparing likelihood models but doesn’t connect to profitability that involves supply side modeling | | | supply modeling <br>operational verification | flexible operations during nail, building on 3D concurrent engineering (product, process, supply chain) | | | diagram | front-back window fog clearing for driving innovation<br>![[Pasted image 20250519073339.png\|200]] | | 5. action t + 1 options | | - read phan/chambers paper <br> <br>- search literature on supplier-entrepreneur-customer coordination<br> <br>- choose best example from charlie’s case study to apply STRAP |