[[10-01|25-10-01]] "์„ฑ๊ณตํ™•๋ฅ , ๋‚ดํฌ, ๋ถ„ํ™”" ์ด ๋ง์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ง๋“ค์„ ํ”๋“ค์–ด ๊นจ์šฐ๊ณ  ๊ฑฐ๋А๋ ค์„œ ๋Œ€ํ•˜๋ฅผ ์ด๋ฃจ๋Š” ํ๋ฆ„์ด ๋…ผ๋ฌธ์˜ ์ฃผ์„ ์œจ. ํ˜„ ์‹œ๋Œ€์˜ ์ฐฝ์—…ํ˜„์žฅ์˜ ํญ๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ถˆํ•ฉ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ๋ฐฐ๊ฒฝ์Œ์œผ๋กœ ๊น”๊ณ , ์„œ์‚ฌ ๊ตฌ์กฐ๋Š” ์—ญ์‚ฌ์  ์‚ฌ๊ฑด์˜ ์ „๊ฐœ (ํ…Œ์Šฌ๋ผ์™€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์Šค)์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋˜ ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ•๋„ ๋†’๊ฒŒ ์••์ถ•ํ•ด์„œ ๊ธด์žฅ์˜ ์ŠคํŒŒํฌ๋ฅผ ์ผ์œผํ‚ค์ž๋Š” ๊ธฐ๋ณธ ์„ค๊ณ„. ์ด๋Ÿฐ ํ† ํ„ธ ํ”ฝ์ณ total picture๊ฐ€ ๋‚ด ๊ธ€์“ฐ๊ธฐ์˜ ์ฆ๊ฑฐ์›€์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. -> prompted to [[hyunjun_shin]] as "ํ˜น ์ฒจ๋ถ€์˜ ์„น์…˜2์ด๋ก  ๋‹ค์Œ ๋‘ ๊ด€์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๋ณ๊ฒŒ ํ”ผ๋“œ๋ฐฑ ๋ถ€ํƒ๋“œ๋ ค๋„ ๋ ๊นŒ์š”? 1. ์„น์…˜2๋Š”, ๋ฒ ์ด์ฆˆ ์ž…๋ฌธ ์ฐฝ์—…ํ•™์ž๊ฐ€ ์„น์…˜3 ์„ธ ๋ชจ๋ธ์ง„ํ™” (์‹œ๋ฎฌ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜-์กฐ์ •-์ •๋ฐ€๋„๋””์ž์ธ) ์˜๋ฏธ๋ฅผ ์ดํ•ดํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ตœ์†Œ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํ†ต๊ณ„๋Ÿ‰์  ์ •๋ณด์ œ๊ณต? 2. ์„น์…˜2๋Š”, ๋ฒ ์ด์ฆˆ ์ „๋ฌธ ์ฐฝ์—…์‹ค๋ฌด์ž๊ฐ€ ์„น์…˜4 ์„ธ ๋ชจ๋ธ์ ์šฉ (ํ˜„์ƒ์ดํ•ด-์˜ˆ์ธก-๋„๊ตฌ์ฒ˜๋ฐฉ) ์˜๋ฏธ๋ฅผ ์ดํ•ดํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ตœ์†Œ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํ†ต๊ณ„๋Ÿ‰์  ์ •๋ณด์ œ๊ณต? ์ฐฝ์ž‘์˜๋„๋Š” ์ฐฝ์—… ์‹ค๋ฌด์ž+ํ•™์ž์—๊ฒŒ ๋ฒ ์ด์ฆˆ์ฐฝ์—… ๋‹ˆ์ฆˆ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–๊ฒŒํ•˜๊ธฐ์—์š”. โ€œ์„ฑ๊ณตํ™•๋ฅ , ๋‚ด์ƒ, ๋ถ„ํ™”"๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ง๋“ค์„ ํ”๋“ค์–ด ๊นจ์šฐ๊ณ  ๊ฑฐ๋А๋ ค ๋Œ€ํ•˜๋ฅผ ์ด๋ฃจ๋Š” ํ๋ฆ„์„ ๋…ผ๋ฌธ์˜ ์ฃผ์„ ์œจ๋กœ ์‚ผ๊ณ , ํ˜„ ์‹œ๋Œ€์˜ ํˆฌ์ž์ž ์ฃผ๋„ ํ•™์Šต๊ตฌ์กฐ์˜ ๋ถˆํ•ฉ๋ฆฌ์™€ ๋น„ํšจ์œจ์„ ๋ฐฐ๊ฒฝ์Œ์œผ๋กœ ๊น”๊ณ , ์„œ์‚ฌ ๊ตฌ์กฐ๋Š” ์ „๊ธฐ์ฐจ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์  ์‚ฌ๊ฑด์ „๊ฐœ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋˜ ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ•๋„ ๋†’๊ฒŒ ์••์ถ•ํ•ด ๊ธด์žฅ์˜ ์ŠคํŒŒํฌ๋ฅผ ์ผ์œผํ‚ค์ž๋Š” ๊ธฐ๋ณธ ์„ค๊ณ„์—์š” (์†Œ์„ค ํ•˜์–ผ๋นˆ์—์„œ ๋ฌธ์žฅ ์ฐจ์šฉ)" you are the ones whose illness ย i was most worried about ย  --- [[09-13|25-09-13]] ### ์ดˆ๋ก ์ƒ์„ฑ ๊ณผ์ • collaborating with [cld](https://claude.ai/share/362739f1-ec84-403b-ba1f-4e44dd15c650), - **14๊ฐœ ์ดˆ๋ก ๋ถ„์„ โ†’ Davis Interestingness ์ถ”์ถœ**: [[๐Ÿ–๐Ÿผtop5_impactful_paper]]์˜ Sutton๋ถ€ํ„ฐ Meehl๊นŒ์ง€ ๋ถ„์„ํ•˜์—ฌ "Unobserved Functionality"๊ฐ€ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ํŒจํ„ด์ž„์„ ๋ฐœ๊ฒฌ (๋ฌด์ง€/๋ชจํ˜ธํ•จ์ด ์‹ค์€ ๊ธฐ๋Šฅ์ ) - **๋ณ€์ˆ˜ ๋งคํ•‘ ์ง„ํ™” (nโ†’c, Cโ†’mโ†’i)**: ๋ณต์žก์„ฑ์„ c๋กœ, rational meaning construction cost๋ฅผ ์ตœ์ข…์ ์œผ๋กœ information integration cost (i)๋กœ ์ •์ œํ•˜์—ฌ ฯ„*=f(V/iร—c) ๋„์ถœ - **Bounded Optimality ์ฒ ํ•™ ํ†ตํ•ฉ**: Tom Griffiths์™€ Ricardo ๋Œ€ํ™”๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด rational ignorance๋ฅผ bounded optimality ํ”„๋ ˆ์ž„์›Œํฌ๋กœ ์ •๋‹นํ™” ### ํ•œ๊ธ€ ์ดˆ๋ก # Anatomy of Uncertainty: Ventureโ€™s Flight and Founderโ€™s Fight ์ •๋ฐ€ํ•œ ์•ฝ์†์€ ์™œ ์‹คํŒจํ•˜๊ณ  ๋ชจํ˜ธํ•œ ์•ฝ์†์€ ์™œ ์„ฑ๊ณตํ•˜๋Š”๊ฐ€? ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ด ์—ญ์„ค์„ ํ•ด๊ฒฐํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๊ณ„ํšํ•™ํŒŒ์™€ ํ–‰๋™ํ•™ํŒŒ์˜ ์˜ค๋žœ ๋Œ€๋ฆฝ์ด ์‹ค์€ ๋™์ผํ•œ ํ˜„์ƒ์˜ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์ธก๋ฉด์ž„์„ ๋ฐํžŒ๋‹ค --- - The Entrepreneurial Promise Paradoxes: How Ambition and Precision Become a Prison in Innovation