# π’ BULLETIN BOARD (λ¨ν‘λ°©)
## The Promise Vendor Thesis - Single Source of Truth
**Last Updated:** 2025-12-09
**Status:** π΄ ACTIVE - 4-Day Sprint (D1)
---
## π¨ VERIFIED NUMBERS (곡μ μ«μ)
> **μ΄ μ«μλ§ μ¬μ©νμΈμ. λ€λ₯Έ νμΌμμ λ€λ₯Έ μ«μλ₯Ό 보면 μ΄ νμΌμ΄ μ§μ€μ
λλ€.**
| Variable | Value | Status |
|:---------|:------|:------:|
| **N_total** | 408,784 | β
|
| **N_panel** | 123,906 | β
|
| **Ο(Y, \|ΞV\|)** | +0.159*** | β
|
| **Ο(E, \|ΞV\|)_within_V** | -0.052*** | β
|
| **Flexibility Gap** | 2.7x | β
|
| **Mid-V Trap Rate** | 25.6% | β
|
| **H3 Low-V** | Ο = -0.05 | β
|
| **H3 High-V** | Ο = +0.08 | β
|
### β DEPRECATED NUMBERS (μ¬μ© κΈμ§)
- ~~488,381~~ β 408,784
- ~~180,000~~ β 123,906
- ~~133,945~~ β 123,906
- ~~8.8x~~ β 2.7x
- ~~-0.117~~ β -0.014 (overall), -0.052 (within V)
- ~~-0.4~~ β -0.052
---
## π― 4-Day Sprint: IDTS Protocol
```
π‘ Ideate βββββ π£ Draft βββββ π§ͺ Test βββββ π Submit
100% 100% 45% 0%
DONE DONE NOW D4
```
---
## π FILE STRUCTURE (νμΌ κ΅¬μ‘°)
```
output/
βββ π’BULLETIN.md β π΄ YOU ARE HERE (λ¨μΌ μ§μ€ μμ€)
βββ ποΈREGISTRY.md β Figure/Table λͺ¨λ μ μ₯μ
β
βββ βοΈU/ β Paper U: Vague Promise
βββ π¦ΎC/ β Paper C: Commitment Trap
βββ π€ΉN/ β Paper N: Promise Vendor
βββ _π©ΈI/ β Integration & Squad Prompts
βββ squad_prompts.md β MGK μ
무λΆμ₯
βββ Kπ΄_D3_test_checklist.md β D3 κ²μ¦ 체ν¬λ¦¬μ€νΈ
```
---
## π SQUAD STATUS (MGK 체μ )
| Squad | Role | Mode | Current Task |
|:------|:-----|:----:|:-------------|
| **M_η΅±** | θ΅·+η΅, μ§ν | Active | μ°μ μμ μ§ν |
| **Gπ ** | ζΏ+θ½, μ€κ³+μ€ν | Active | π΄ Critical Tasks |
| **Kπ΄** | Dashboard + κ²μ¦ | ποΈ D1-D2 | Dashboard λ°μ |
> β Jπ’: νμ§ β Gπ μ ν΅ν©
---
## π NOTATION STANDARD (곡μ νκΈ°λ²)
```
V : Vagueness [0-100]
Vβ : Initial vagueness
ΞV : Change in V (signed)
|ΞV| : Strategic flexibility (unsigned)
E : Early funding ($M)
T : Total funding ($M)
Y : Growth ratio = T/E
k : Option count
k* : Optimal option count
CR : Critical Ratio = Cα΅€/(Cα΅€+Cβ)
AOC : Abandonment Option Cost
Ο : Spearman correlation
```
---
## π CHANGE LOG
| Date | Who | What |
|:-----|:----|:-----|
| 12-09 | M_η΅± | JGK β MGK 체μ μ ν |
| 12-09 | Gπ | squad_prompts.md μ¬μμ± |
| 12-09 | Kπ΄ | D3 test checklist μμ± |
| 12-08 | System | BULLETIN/REGISTRY μμ± |
---
## β‘ QUICK LINKS
- **Verified Data:** `[[π’BULLETIN]]` (μ΄ νμΌ)
- **Figure/Table Modules:** `[[ποΈREGISTRY]]`
- **Squad Prompts:** `[[squad_prompts]]`
- **Kπ΄ Checklist:** `[[Kπ΄_D3_test_checklist]]`
- **Paper U TOC:** `[[toc(u)]]`
- **Paper C TOC:** `[[toc(c)]]`
- **Paper N TOC:** `[[toc(n)]]`
---
*π’ μ΄ νμΌμ΄ μ§μ€μ
λλ€. μλ¬Έμ΄ μμΌλ©΄ μ¬κΈ°λ₯Ό νμΈνμΈμ.*
*Last human confirmation: 2025-12-09*