# ๐Ÿ“Š Editor Note vs 4์ฐจ ์ „ํˆฌ Critical Bottleneck ๋น„๊ต ๋ถ„์„ --- ## 1. ๋งคํ•‘ ํ…Œ์ด๋ธ” ``` โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” โ”‚ Editor Concern vs 4์ฐจ ์ „ํˆฌ Critical ๋น„๊ต โ”‚ โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ฌโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ฌโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ฌโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค โ”‚ Editor Note (5๊ฐœ) โ”‚ 4์ฐจ ์ „ํˆฌ Bottleneck โ”‚ ์ผ์น˜ โ”‚ Gap โ”‚ โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค โ”‚ 1. DATA CORRECTION (2.7ร—) โ”‚ - โ”‚ โŒ ๋ˆ„๋ฝ โ”‚ ์ˆซ์ž ๊ฒ€ํ†  โ”‚ โ”‚ 2. Paper N: k* ์ง์ ‘ ์ธก์ • ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€ โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด CR Calibration โ”‚ โœ… ์ผ์น˜ โ”‚ - โ”‚ โ”‚ 3. MEASUREMENT ๊ด€์ฐฐ์  ํ•œ๊ณ„ โ”‚ - โ”‚ โš ๏ธ ๋ถ€๋ถ„ โ”‚ Caveat โ”‚ โ”‚ 4. FOMOโ†’Cu ์ˆ˜ํ•™์  ๋งคํ•‘ โ”‚ - โ”‚ โŒ ๋ˆ„๋ฝ โ”‚ ์—„๋ฐ€์„ฑ โ”‚ โ”‚ 5. GOLDEN CAGE (ฯ=-0.014) โ”‚ - โ”‚ โŒ ๋ˆ„๋ฝ โ”‚ ์น˜๋ช…์  โ”‚ โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค โ”‚ - โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด Bolton ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ (U) โ”‚ โš ๏ธ ๊ด€๋ จ โ”‚ ๋‚ด๋ถ€์šฉ โ”‚ โ”‚ - โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด Nanda ํฌ์ง€์…”๋‹ (C) โ”‚ โฌ‡๏ธ ํ•˜ํ–ฅ โ”‚ ํ†ค ๋ฌธ์ œ โ”‚ โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”˜ ``` --- ## 2. Gap ๋ถ„์„: ๋‚ด๊ฐ€ ๋†“์นœ ๊ฒƒ๋“ค ### ๐Ÿšจ Critical Gap (Editor ์ง€์  โ†’ ๋‚ด ๋ˆ„๋ฝ) | Gap | Editor ์›๋ฌธ | ์‹ฌ๊ฐ๋„ | ์ฆ‰์‹œ ์กฐ์น˜ | |:---|:---|:---:|:---| | **GOLDEN CAGE** | "ฯโ‰ˆโˆ’0.014 is the **weakest part**... **fatal flaw**?" | ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด | Asset Specificity ํ”ผ๋ด‡ | | **DATA CORRECTION** | "disregard 8.8ร—, use **2.7ร—**" | ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด | ์ „๋ฌธ ์ˆซ์ž ๊ฒ€ํ†  | | **FOMOโ†’Cu ๋งคํ•‘** | "This translation must hold **mathematically**" | ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด | N ์ด๋ก  ์—„๋ฐ€์„ฑ | | **์ธ๊ณผ์ถ”๋ก  ํ•œ๊ณ„** | "causal identification is **limited**" | ๐ŸŸก | Caveat ๋ช…์‹œ | --- ## 3. ์šฐ์„ ์ˆœ์œ„ ์žฌ๋ฐฐ์น˜ ``` โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” โ”‚ ๊ธฐ์กด (4์ฐจ ์ „ํˆฌ) โ†’ ์ˆ˜์ • (Editor ๋ฐ˜์˜) โ”‚ โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด1. CR Calibration (N) โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด1. GOLDEN CAGE โ†’ Asset Specificity โ”‚ โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด2. Bolton ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ (U) โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด2. DATA CORRECTION (8.8โ†’2.7ร—) โ”‚ โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด3. Nanda ํฌ์ง€์…”๋‹ (C) โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด3. FOMOโ†’Cu ์ˆ˜ํ•™์  ๋งคํ•‘ (N) โ”‚ โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด4. ์‹œ๊ฐ„ ๋ถ€์กฑ โ”‚ ๐Ÿ”ด4. CR Calibration (N) โ† ์œ ์ง€ โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ ๐ŸŸก5. Bolton ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ (U) โ† ์šฐ์„ ์ˆœ์œ„ ์œ ์ง€ โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ ๐ŸŸก6. ์ธ๊ณผ์ถ”๋ก  Caveat โ† ์‹ ๊ทœ โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ โฌ‡๏ธ7. Nanda ํฌ์ง€์…”๋‹ (C) โ† ํ•˜ํ–ฅ โ”‚ โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”˜ ``` **๋ณ€ํ™” ์š”์•ฝ:** - ๐Ÿ†• ์‹ ๊ทœ ์ถ”๊ฐ€: 3๊ฐœ (Golden Cage, Data Correction, FOMOโ†’Cu) - โฌ‡๏ธ ์šฐ์„ ์ˆœ์œ„ ํ•˜ํ–ฅ: 1๊ฐœ (Nanda) - โœ… ์œ ์ง€: 2๊ฐœ (CR Calibration, Bolton) --- ## 4. ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๋ฐœ๊ฒฌ: "Golden Cage" = Fatal Flaw? ### Editor ์›๋ฌธ (๊ฐ€์žฅ ์ค‘์š”ํ•œ ์ง€์ ) > "The link between 'Early Capital' and 'Strategic Rigidity' is the **weakest part** of the causal chain (ฯ(E,ฮ”V)โ‰ˆโˆ’0.014). > > Look for whether the paper successfully pivots the argument to **Asset Specificity** (hardware/contracts) rather than just financial capital as the source of lock-in, or if this remains a **fatal flaw**." ### ํ˜„์žฌ ๋…ผ๋ฆฌ (์•ฝํ•จ) ``` E (Capital) โ”€โ”€โ†’ ฮ”V ๊ฐ์†Œ โ”€โ”€โ†’ Rigidity โ”€โ”€โ†’ Growth ์ €ํ•ด โ”‚ ฯ = -0.014 (๐Ÿ˜ฐ ์•ฝํ•จ) ``` ### ํ•„์š”ํ•œ ํ”ผ๋ด‡ (๊ฐ•ํ•จ) ``` E (Capital) โ”€โ”€โ†’ Asset Specificity โ”€โ”€โ†’ ฮ”V ๊ฐ์†Œ โ”€โ”€โ†’ Rigidity โ”‚ โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” โ”‚ โ”‚ Hardware Contracts (๊ณต์žฅ, ์žฅ๋น„) (๊ณ„์•ฝ, ์•ฝ์†) โ”‚ โ”‚ โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ฌโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”˜ โ†“ Industry-specific lock-in ``` ### ์ฆ๊ฑฐ ์žฌ๊ตฌ์„ฑ | Industry | ฯ(Y,|ฮ”V|) | Asset Specificity | ํ•ด์„ | |:---|:---:|:---:|:---| | **Transportation** | +0.236*** | ๋†’์Œ (H/W) | ์œ ์—ฐ์„ฑ ํšจ๊ณผ ์ตœ๋Œ€ | | Software | +0.159*** | ๋‚ฎ์Œ | ์œ ์—ฐ์„ฑ ํšจ๊ณผ ๋ณดํ†ต | | Hardware | +0.180*** | ๋†’์Œ | ์œ ์—ฐ์„ฑ ํšจ๊ณผ ํผ | | Pharma | +0.140*** | ์ค‘๊ฐ„ | ์œ ์—ฐ์„ฑ ํšจ๊ณผ ๋ณดํ†ต | **ํ•ต์‹ฌ ํ”ผ๋ด‡:** "๋ˆ์ด ๊ตณํžŒ๋‹ค"๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ โ†’ "**์ž์‚ฐ ํŠน์ด์„ฑ์ด ๊ตณํžŒ๋‹ค**" --- ## 5. D1 Action Items ์žฌ๋ฐฐ์น˜ | Priority | Task | Paper | ๊ทผ๊ฑฐ | Deadline | |:---:|:---|:---:|:---|:---:| | ๐Ÿ”ด1 | **Golden Cage โ†’ Asset Specificity ํ”ผ๋ด‡** | C | Editor "fatal flaw" | D1 PM | | ๐Ÿ”ด2 | **8.8ร— โ†’ 2.7ร— ์ „๋ฌธ ์ˆซ์ž ๊ฒ€ํ† ** | ALL | Editor "disregard" | D1 AM | | ๐Ÿ”ด3 | **FOMOโ†’Cu ์ˆ˜ํ•™์  ๋งคํ•‘ ๋ช…ํ™•ํ™”** | N | Editor "mathematically" | D1 PM | | ๐Ÿ”ด4 | CR Calibration (Scott ฮป) | N | ๊ธฐ์กด ์œ ์ง€ | D1 PM | | ๐ŸŸก5 | Bolton sโ‚‚โ†”V ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ | U | ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ์ •ํ•ฉ์„ฑ | D2 AM | | ๐ŸŸก6 | ์ธ๊ณผ์ถ”๋ก  ํ•œ๊ณ„ Caveat | ALL | Editor "limited" | D2 PM | | โฌ‡๏ธ7 | Nanda ํ™•์žฅ ํ†ค ์กฐ์ • | C | ์šฐ์„ ์ˆœ์œ„ ํ•˜ํ–ฅ | D3 | --- ## 6. ๊ตํ›ˆ ### Editor๊ฐ€ ๋ณธ ๊ฒƒ vs ๋‚ด๊ฐ€ ๋ณธ ๊ฒƒ ``` โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” โ”‚ Editor (์™ธ๋ถ€ ์‹ฌ์‚ฌ ๊ด€์ ) โ”‚ ๋‚˜ (๋‚ด๋ถ€ ์ž‘์—… ๊ด€์ ) โ”‚ โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ผโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค โ”‚ "์ˆซ์ž๊ฐ€ ๋งž๋Š”๊ฐ€?" (Data) โ”‚ "๊ตฌ์กฐ๊ฐ€ ๋งž๋Š”๊ฐ€?" (Theory) โ”‚ โ”‚ "์ˆ˜ํ•™์ด ๋˜๋Š”๊ฐ€?" (Rigor) โ”‚ "์—ฐ๊ฒฐ์ด ๋˜๋Š”๊ฐ€?" (Logic) โ”‚ โ”‚ "์ธ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋˜๋Š”๊ฐ€?" (Causality) โ”‚ "ํ†ค์ด ๋งž๋Š”๊ฐ€?" (Framing) โ”‚ โ”‚ "์น˜๋ช…์  ์•ฝ์ ์€?" (Weakness) โ”‚ "๋น ์ง„ ๊ฒƒ์€?" (Completeness) โ”‚ โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ดโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”˜ ``` **ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ตํ›ˆ:** > ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ์ž‘์—…์ž๋Š” "์—ฐ๊ฒฐ"์— ์ง‘์ค‘ํ•˜๊ณ , ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์‹ฌ์‚ฌ์ž๋Š” "์•ฝ์ "์— ์ง‘์ค‘ํ•œ๋‹ค. > Golden Cage์˜ ฯ=-0.014์€ ๋‚ด๊ฐ€ "์•Œ๊ณ  ์žˆ์—ˆ์ง€๋งŒ" "์น˜๋ช…์ "์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ์ธ์‹ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ–ˆ๋‹ค. --- *"์•ฝ์ ์„ ์ˆจ๊ธฐ์ง€ ๋ง๊ณ , ํ”ผ๋ด‡ํ•˜๋ผ."*